Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 15.149825 17.136124 19.358919 22.044773 25.220898 28.880171 33.448458
2025-09-14 11.962813 14.358206 17.252474 21.052492 25.978610 32.245420 40.980701
2025-09-21 10.039844 12.510537 15.646227 19.995112 25.996472 34.182794 46.553004
2025-09-28 8.839037 11.345527 14.654037 19.452251 26.428061 36.528880 52.919343
2025-10-05 8.870421 11.768348 15.766466 21.870100 31.304096 45.983202 72.012591
2025-10-12 8.417687 11.451588 15.781637 22.662413 33.830328 52.261882 87.494368
2025-10-19 7.663896 10.618369 14.941171 22.018322 33.937465 54.523834 96.289802
2025-10-26 7.348404 10.390945 14.968600 22.721558 36.348545 61.179269 115.317311
2025-11-02 6.849651 9.837955 14.431661 22.420217 36.943659 64.574873 128.516458
2025-11-09 6.394107 9.311992 13.884454 22.028223 37.298369 67.539073 141.598695
2025-11-16 6.018719 8.881519 13.450617 21.777659 37.868510 71.024306 157.014276
2025-11-23 5.620932 8.385605 12.865930 21.190368 37.692423 72.877186 168.848580
2025-11-30 5.301798 8.009646 12.476028 20.963616 38.303685 76.817504 188.552154
2025-12-07 4.892770 7.459060 11.746374 20.028652 37.329055 76.945892 197.419206
2025-12-14 4.513884 6.934896 11.023958 19.035793 36.096773 76.225913 203.494573
2025-12-21 4.243550 6.578093 10.571362 18.525598 35.851698 77.922407 218.309871
2025-12-28 4.396725 6.956518 11.464691 20.796166 42.239080 98.462076 311.490236
2026-01-04 4.322102 6.929075 11.607835 21.539274 45.189384 110.540592 381.634676
2026-01-11 4.082637 6.592070 11.142297 20.935218 44.721207 112.419624 408.379743
2026-01-18 4.013042 6.557675 11.252162 21.594728 47.580534 125.439014 499.301933
2026-01-25 3.839591 6.322322 10.953596 21.312166 47.919305 130.402392 552.720688
2026-02-01 3.668940 6.082951 10.631228 20.944505 47.975744 134.459669 605.058810
2026-02-08 3.523869 5.883878 10.376479 20.709437 48.370617 139.877830 671.834259